Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.’s co-founder and co-chairman Howard Marks sees an opportunity in Chinese distressed debt as most recently mentioned in a Bloomberg interview. Why? Because “history does not repeat itself but it does rhyme”.
We all know markets rise and fall, but when should you pull out, and when should you stay in? The answer is never black or white, but is best reached through a keen understanding of the reasons behind the rhythm of cycles. Confidence about where we are in a cycle comes when you learn the patterns of ups and downs that influence not just economics, markets and companies, but also human psychology and the investing behaviors that result.
Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
If you study past cycles, understand their origins and remain alert for the next one, you will become keenly attuned to the investment environment as it changes. You’ll be aware and prepared while others get blindsided by unexpected events or fall victim to emotions like fear and greed.
By following Marks’s insights — drawn in part from his iconic memos over the years to Oaktree’s clients — you can master these recurring patterns to have the opportunity to improve your results.
Tilt the odds in your favor – a classic must-read!