While the capital-weighted S&P 500 still shows a gain of 13.1% since the beginning of the year – thanks in particular to the strong profits of the large technology companies – the equal-weighted counterpart is only up 1.8%.
This index, whose members are all considered with the same weighting of 0.2%, has lost a lot of ground, especially in the last two months (-3.2% in August, -5.1% in September), much more than the “normal” S&P 500 (-1.8% in August, -4.9% in September). This is mainly due to the fact that interest rate sensitive real estate and utility companies, which are more heavily weighted in the equal weighted index (11.7% vs. 4.9%), were significantly punished during this period.
At Tramondo, we analyse market indices, which may be somewhat overlooked by the general public, very closely in order to obtain a holistic picture of global financial markets.
The corresponding interpretation of this data serves as an important source of input for defining our tactical asset allocation, especially with regard to the risk character of our investment solutions. Strong divergences between the two indices indicate highly selective market dynamics that typically need to be addressed with an increased degree of caution.
For a more comprehensive look on our take of the markets last month please have a look at the latest market compass which you can download on this page.
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The Quarterly, and the Market Compass in the months betweeen. Tramondo’s take on markets, monetary policy, politics and economics. And resulting investment opportunities that successful individuals, families, and institutional investors need to be aware of today.