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Investing concepts explained·9.15
How do markets behave when central banks pause rate rises?
Historically, well. Since 1992, in periods when the US Federal Reserve held rates after a tightening cycle, US equities (S&P 500) returned about 20.6% a year on average and US bonds (Bloomberg US Aggregate) about 5.1%. A pause tends to reduce uncertainty and volatility. Tramondo studies such monetary cycles for its tactical allocation, knowing that no two cycles are the same.
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General information only; not investment advice, an offer or a solicitation.
Investing concepts explained
- 9.1What is market breadth, and why does it matter?
- 9.2Is a low price-to-earnings ratio a reason to buy a stock?
- 9.3Should you buy shares in an IPO on the first day?
- 9.4How should you invest in long-term themes?
- 9.5What does margin debt say about the stock market?
- 9.6Why can long-term bonds be attractive when interest-rate rises end?
- 9.7Do seasonal patterns matter in the stock market?
- 9.8Does "Sell in May and go away" work?
- 9.9Does a strong January point to a good year for stocks?
- 9.10Why does April often behave differently in the stock market?
- 9.11Is September the weakest month for stocks?
- 9.12Does a strong first half mean a good second half for stocks?
- 9.13Does the gold price follow a seasonal pattern?
- 9.14Are rising interest rates bad for the stock market?
- 9.16How do bonds perform after the first interest-rate cut?
- 9.17Why do central banks own so many government bonds?
- 9.18How long do bear markets last?
- 9.19What is a bear-market rally?
- 9.20Are record highs a warning sign for the stock market?
- 9.21Why do a few companies drive most of the stock market's return?
- 9.22How much do dividends contribute to stock-market returns?
- 9.23Do US elections move the stock market?
- 9.24Do commodities help diversify a portfolio?
- 9.25Why are central banks buying gold?